April 20, 2024

Assembly Election Exit Poll Results: A shifting political landscape in India

The voting process occurred from November 7 to November 30 in these states, with the results of the five assembly elections set to be disclosed on Sunday, December 3.

In Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, the Congress aims to maintain its hold on power, while the BJP seeks another term in Madhya Pradesh

In Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, the Congress aims to maintain its hold on power, while the BJP seeks another term in Madhya Pradesh. (Source: @priyankagandhi)

On Thursday, media outlets unveiled the exit poll results for all five states—Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, and Mizoram. Both the India Today-Axis My India exit poll and the Jan Ki Baat exit poll indicate a closely contested battle between the Congress and the BJP in Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh.

The voting process occurred from November 7 to November 30 in these states, with the results of the five assembly elections set to be disclosed on Sunday, December 3.

An exit poll is a survey conducted by a research agency to gauge the likely results of an election. Voters are questioned about their choices after leaving the polling station, hence the term ‘exit poll.’ These polls, conducted immediately after people cast their votes, are anticipated to offer insights into the assembly outcomes, serving as a significant indicator of India’s sentiment leading up to the pivotal general assembly elections in 2024.

Throughout history, there have been instances of exit polls inaccurately predicting election results, often due to respondents naming a candidate different from the one they actually voted for.

In Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, the Congress aims to retain its power, while the BJP endeavors for another term in Madhya Pradesh. In Telangana, both the Congress and BJP are keen on challenging the current government led by K Chandrashekar Rao.

Concurrently, the ruling Mizo National Front in Mizoram is actively striving to fend off challenges from both the Congress and Zoram People’s Movement. The voting in Telangana on November 30 marks the culmination of the final assembly elections of 2023.

The results on December 3 will have a significant impact on the crucial Lok Sabha elections expected in April-May next year. The party emerging strongest from these polls will carry positive momentum into the national election.

Given that the competition in at least three out of these five states is between the Congress and BJP, the results assume even greater importance for these two national parties.

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